Trump's decision was a mistake; he was warned by intelligence and Joint Chiefs but took the risk.

Conflict has no easy end; market belief in Trump declaring victory soon may not align with Iranian/Israeli/Gulf State interests.

Congress is absent, focused on Save Act (voter ID), not war powers.

Check on Trump will be reality: loss of American lives, oil prices, stagflation risk.

Europe smart to keep distance; French general compared invitation to 'dancing on Titanic after iceberg'.

Stagflation is a risk; economic landscape in March 2026 fundamentally worse than January 2026.

Midterms: if free/fair, Democrats likely take House, possibly Senate; Trump may use conspiracy theories to delegitimize results.