• Jerome Powell
    Policy rate unchanged at 3.5-3.75% after 75bps of cuts over previous three meetings. Current stance seen as appropriate to promote progress toward dual mandate goals.
  • Jerome Powell
    Broad committee support for holding rates today, though some dissenters wanted a cut. No preset test for next cut; decisions will be meeting-by-meeting based on data.
  • Jerome Powell
    Most goods price overrun is from tariffs (a one-time increase), not demand. Core PCE would be just above 2% excluding tariff effects. Services show ongoing disinflation.
  • Jerome Powell
    Upside risks to inflation and downside risks to employment have diminished but still exist; not declaring them fully balanced. Policy is in a good place.
  • Jerome Powell
    Central bank independence is a critical institutional arrangement for credibility and serving the public, common across advanced democracies.
  • Jerome Powell
    Wealth effects from rising asset values support spending by higher-income households, while lower-income consumers are economizing and trading down.
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