• CPI report showed inflation remains relatively contained. What level of comfort does this give the Fed?
    Scarlet Fu
  • Kathy Jones
    CPI helps but core services still pushing up inflation. Fed looks at PCE. Encouraging but not enough to shift Fed narrative. Economy still strong, fiscal stimulus ongoing, inflation well above 2% target. Fed lacks real impetus to act.
  • Path of least resistance is lower dollar. How do you see this playing out?
    Scarlet Fu
  • Kathy Jones
    Dollar has been falling after decade-long rally. Seeing diversification away from US. Investors moving to other markets with more potential. Good environment for emerging markets when dollar down, Fed easing, global growth. Policy challenges - president favors weaker dollar, geopolitical risks open door to softer dollar.
  • Treasuries traded like safe haven this week. Do options matter as tell on sentiment?
    Scarlet Fu
  • Kathy Jones
    30-year auction well-bid signals people looking for duration. US Treasury still viewed as safe haven in tumultuous world. Terror uncertainty dying down encouraged buying.
  • Reports China instructing banks not to load up on Treasuries. Is that taking shape?
    Scarlet Fu
  • Kathy Jones
    Data doesn't show huge movement. Might be political signaling rather than actual policy.
  • Do you look at technical factors when assessing market response?
    Scarlet Fu
  • Kathy Jones
    Follow technicals to understand sentiment and trends. Divergence from expected direction makes me reassess.
  • Worried about data integrity due to BLS cutbacks?
    Scarlet Fu
  • Kathy Jones
    Worried about integrity due to personnel and funding cutbacks. Can't make good decisions without good data.
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