Asks Claudia about the risks of a rate hike, noting her measured approach and risk management focus.
speaker1
Claudia Sama
Risks of a hike are uncomfortably high and have shifted since January due to the war in Iran and potential inflationary shock.
Asks about balancing strong capex/AI investment (which could drive rates up) with a weak labor market.
speaker1
Claudia Sama
Strong capex is a buffer, not a challenge for the Fed, as there's no overheating vibe like in 2021.
Asks Claudia to weigh in on the labor market debate.
speaker1
Claudia Sama
We're facing two problems: downside risks on employment and upside risks on inflation. The Fed will point at the bigger problem and respond.