• How does jobs report set up positioning for inflation data?
    Scarlett Foo
  • Blake Quinn
    Hard for inflation data to change near-term Fed cuts dynamics. Fed focused on labor markets, not inflation side of mandate.
  • Blake Quinn
    Changed Fed call - now have Fed on hold for rest of year. January cut would have needed softness continuing into December print.
  • How are investors positioning for first part of 2026?
    Scarlett Foo
  • Blake Quinn
    Positioning fairly light, people staying close to benchmarks, hesitant to take risk.
  • Blake Quinn
    One prevalent position: people still like curve steepeners for dual risks - insurance against bigger downturn or scare about Fed independence/deficit levels.
  • How do you fold in Trump's mortgage bond policy?
    Scarlett Foo
  • Blake Quinn
    Actual impact on mortgage rates probably low, would take under on 25 basis points. Not game-changing for home ownership decisions.
  • Is there still foreign haven demand for US Treasuries or migration to gold?
    Scarlett Foo
  • Blake Quinn
    Relative size of Treasury market means rotation into gold wouldn't noticeably impact Treasury yields, but could be bigger driver for gold.
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