Asks for thoughts on the strategy of a 'bloody nose' strike against Iran as a path to a nuclear deal.
Joe Matthew
Mark Esper
The purpose of a strike would be to force Iran to the negotiation table. The IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps) would be the primary target, as they are the real power behind the regime.
Asks if the U.S. should wait for a second carrier strike group to arrive in the region before any action.
Kayleigh Lines
Mark Esper
Recommends waiting for the carrier group for both military and political reasons. The destroyers provide crucial air defense for allies. Politically, a strike would overshadow the State of the Union address and the affordability message his advisors want to emphasize.
Asks about the need for Congressional consultation ahead of a potential strike.
Joe Matthew
Mark Esper
Consultation depends on the situation, but there is prudence in briefing Congress on force movements and intentions, especially for a prolonged operation, to secure public and legislative support.
Asks if Iranian retaliation could be more serious this time, potentially costing American lives.
Kayleigh Lines
Mark Esper
American lives are always at risk, and Iran will retaliate proportionally. They typically claim a domestic victory but then seek to de-escalate. The administration is right to take time to build up defenses.
Asks if regime change in Iran could lead to a dangerous power vacuum and increased instability.
Kayleigh Lines
Mark Esper
A successor would likely be an even harder-line figure from the IRGC. A broader strategy involving sanctions, allies, and support for organized opposition is needed, as simply toppling the political regime leaves the IRGC intact to take over.