• Asks about market rotation and broadening, noting S&P 500 at record highs despite patchy Magnificent Seven performance, questioning sustainability.
    Katie
  • Andrew
    Sees broadening as wonderful with three reasons: 1) Strong Q4 earnings beats, 2) Yield curve steepening reducing recession probability per NY Fed indicator, 3) Large cap margin pressure from rising CapEx.
  • Asks about distinction between late cycle and end of cycle, and how this translates to equity markets.
    Katie
  • Andrew
    Late cycle typically gets bubbly with speculative non-earning stocks, but market self-corrects when this emerges. Biggest risk is blow-off stage. High earnings estimates, GDP outlook, and bullish sentiment create dangerous concoction ripe for disappointment.
  • Asks where to hedge given hyperscalers spending massively on CapEx and leveraging balance sheets, changing the picture.
    Katie
  • Andrew
    Financials and industrials offer opportunities after selling off. As free cash flow turns negative for large companies, markets won't like it despite lower multiples.
  • Asks about SaaS apocalypse and AI disruption of business models for companies in the equal weight index.
    Katie
  • Andrew
    Uncertain about timing but suggests focusing on companies performing well with reasonable multiples where shorts can't easily sell off even on beats.
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