• Bitcoin has recouped $70k and outperformed even during equity risk-off periods. What's driving this?
    Sam
  • Jim Carioli
    Bitcoin's resilience stems from hitting a potential bottom near its 200-week moving average ($60k) in early February, followed by organic recovery with ETF inflows, improved options positioning, and on-chain activity.
  • Jim Carioli
    Recent perpetual futures market showed excessive short demand (negative funding rates), creating risk of short liquidations which pushed Bitcoin to $76k. We're not very bullish, but the bottom may be in.
  • Is capital flight from the Middle East (UAE) part of the story?
    Sam
  • Jim Carioli
    We've seen rotation from other assets. The fall rally in gold/silver/precious metals was momentum-driven, not fundamental. Bitcoin didn't fail as a store of value.
  • What about the Clarity Act and recent SEC/CFTC guidance?
    Sam
  • Jim Carioli
    Clarity Act is stalled, but SEC/CFTC issued new guidance shifting focus from token to transaction intent, creating a taxonomy. Most crypto (digital commodities, collectibles, utility tokens, stablecoins) are NOT securities.
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