Introducing comments from NY Fed President John Williams.
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Williams says Middle East conflict introduces substantial risk and heightened uncertainty, but current monetary policy stance is well positioned to balance the risk.
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Economy has been resilient to uncertainty with strong consumer spending and solid business investment.
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There are conflicting signs from labor market - some data points to stabilization, other data points to softening.
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Good labor market for those with jobs, but not necessarily for those trying to enter workforce - a bifurcation.
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Tariff effects expected to weigh over next couple quarters, putting downward pressure on core inflation.
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Middle East conflict yet to come could result in a more supply shock.