• Asks for assessment of risk-reward in the overall market given recent events.
    Host
  • Kevin Liu
    Recent market affect is first due to risk aversion from conflict, translating into a liquidity issue where people sell everything for cash, explaining the dislocated sell-off. The US dollar rising suddenly is a sign of cash need, not dollar love.
  • Asks what it takes for China tech to be a good trade.
    Host
  • Kevin Liu
    Depends on AI narrative and companies' capability to do more capex, show AI models are more profitable, and beat other models. Tech underperforms because people think they are lagging behind, spending less.
  • Asks about relative performance between onshore and offshore markets given massive selling via Stock Connect.
    Host
  • Kevin Liu
    A-shares have better fundamentals and liquidity. In a flattening credit cycle, money chases directions that still generate credit expansion potential. Tech stocks are temporarily disliked by the market and not representing the credit direction.
  • Asks if anything new from NPC on sectors that could outperform.
    Host
  • Kevin Liu
    Policymakers are relatively happy with growth rates, accepting this level to meet 2035 goals. They are stressing building a stronger domestic market but cutting trade policy subsidies. Likely more support for service consumption and allocation to national strategy projects (future energy, hydrogen, AI, modern industry).
  • Asks for best opportunities in China's equity market now.
    Host
  • Kevin Liu
    If the overall index is capped, find gains in two ways: 1) Corrections in tech give more room. 2) Follow the lead of credit expansion to find sectors with promising demand and government support: AI technology, software models, key infrastructure hardware, and non-ferrous metals cyclicals.
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