• Should people hedge for potential Iran escalation?
    Joumanna
  • Laleh Connor
    Market thinking this is negotiating tactic. Creating demand for safe-haven assets like US dollar. Expect more increase in price of gold and other safe havens heading into weekend/next week.
  • Recent strong US data, hawkish Fed minutes. Setup for H2 with new Fed chair?
    Joumanna
  • Laleh Connor
    Expecting 2 rate cuts; new Fed chair doesn't change that much. New chair doesn't like QE, wants smaller Fed balance sheet.
  • Is USD decline ending?
    Joumanna
  • Laleh Connor
    USD will stay soft for some time. Tracking Trump 1.0 where it declined ~10% in 2025. Downward pressure from rate cutting cycle.
  • Thoughts on GBP?
    Joumanna
  • Laleh Connor
    Expect BoE to cut; inflation heading right direction, will pressure sterling vs USD.
  • Earnings season US vs Europe?
    Joumanna
  • Laleh Connor
    US earnings growth ~14% healthy, driven by tech, communication, industrials. Beats lower than past quarters, environment where investors more discerning, want execution from capex spenders.
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