Asks Nate about market attention given FOMC, earnings, dollar moves, and metal pullbacks.
Sam
Nathan Peterson
Notes divergence between Nasdaq and Russell with money rotating back into tech over past five days ahead of megacap tech earnings.
Nathan Peterson
Highlights S&P at all-time highs and 4-5% GDP growth driven by largest infrastructure buildout in history, fueled by capex and investment.
Nathan Peterson
States Fed expectations are low (maybe 1-2 cuts), but strong AI-driven growth across sectors (tech, industrials, blue-collar workers) means rate cuts may not matter.
Nathan Peterson
Warns investors need to be selective within tech; notes many large-cap software names (Wix, Workday, ServiceNow, Salesforce) hitting 52-week lows while market hits new highs.
Nathan Peterson
Says megacap tech capex numbers will be interesting; markets may not want them too hot or too cold, unsure how markets will respond.
Asks Nate about technical setup for Mag Seven post-FOMC and what's under the surface.
Sam
Nathan Peterson
Describes significant divergence within technology, even within Mag Seven, due to cash flow shifting to capex.
Nathan Peterson
States technicals depend on the specific company; many questions remain about AI's impact on software and when capex will translate to bottom-line results.
Nathan Peterson
Concludes the market is still figuring out appropriate spend levels and when productivity/margin benefits will materialize without excessive competitive threat.